Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 58.96%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 18.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
58.96% ( 0.7) | 22.75% ( -0.13) | 18.29% ( -0.57) |
Both teams to score 49.61% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.94% ( -0.29) | 49.06% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.86% ( -0.26) | 71.13% ( 0.26) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.69% ( 0.14) | 16.3% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.12% ( 0.25) | 45.87% ( -0.25) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.28% ( -0.82) | 40.72% ( 0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.69% ( -0.75) | 77.3% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 12.04% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 58.96% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.74% | 0-1 @ 5.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 20 | 18 |
2 | Aberdeen | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 18 |
3 | RangersRangers | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Motherwell | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 10 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 9 |
6 | St Mirren | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 8 |
7 | Ross County | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
8 | Dundee | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
9 | Hibernian | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 5 |
10 | St Johnstone | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 4 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 3 |
12 | Hearts | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 2 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |