Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Motherwell in this match.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
38.42% ( -0.18) | 25.73% ( -0.04) | 35.85% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 55.11% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.97% ( 0.22) | 49.03% ( -0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.89% ( 0.2) | 71.11% ( -0.2) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.96% ( -0) | 25.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.29% ( -0) | 59.71% ( -0) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.52% ( 0.23) | 26.48% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.33% ( 0.31) | 61.66% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 38.42% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.22% Total : 35.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 18 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 52 | 4 | 48 | 50 |
2 | RangersRangers | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 36 |
3 | Aberdeen | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 34 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 31 |
5 | St Mirren | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 27 |
6 | Motherwell | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 27 |
7 | Hibernian | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 24 |
8 | Dundee | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 21 |
10 | Ross County | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 19 |
11 | Hearts | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 17 |
12 | St Johnstone | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |