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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Chadfields

Tilbury
0 - 2
Chelmsford City

FT(HT: 0-2)
Ruff (36', 40')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Tilbury and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Brantham Athletic 1-2 Tilbury
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 78.36%. A draw had a probability of 13.6% and a win for Tilbury had a probability of 8.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Tilbury win it was 2-1 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
TilburyDrawChelmsford City
8.02%13.61%78.36% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 50.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.11% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)31.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.56% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)53.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Tilbury Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.28%81.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)6.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.74% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)24.25%
Score Analysis
    Tilbury 8.02%
    Chelmsford City 78.35%
    Draw 13.61%
TilburyDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 2.46%
1-0 @ 2.32%
2-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 8.02%
1-1 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 3.37%
0-0 @ 2.99%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 13.61%
0-2 @ 11.16%
0-3 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 8.17% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 7.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-4 @ 6.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-4 @ 5.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-5 @ 3.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.07%
1-5 @ 2.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 2.1%
0-6 @ 1.73%
1-6 @ 1.35%
2-5 @ 1.15%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 78.35%

rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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