League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Kingsmeadow
We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 MK Dons
Both teams will need to turn up for the big occasion and bring their 'A' game for what could prove to be an entertaining contest on Saturday.
Although MK Dons look as if they are beginning to turn a corner, Wimbledon have looked strong for the vast majority of this season and they have our vote to claim the bragging rights and prevail in this derby showdown.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 39.19% . A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.34%) . The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result AFC Wimbledon Draw MK Dons 35.47% ( -0.03) 25.34% ( 0.01) 39.19% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.43% ( -0.05)
52.68% ( -0.06) 47.32% ( 0.06)
30.46% ( -0.06) 69.54% ( 0.06)
74.11% ( -0.05) 25.89% ( 0.05)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.12% ( -0.07) 60.88% ( 0.07)
76.15% ( -0.02) 23.85% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 41.96% ( -0.02) 58.04% ( 0.02)
AFC Wimbledon 35.47%
MK Dons 39.19%
Draw 25.34%
AFC Wimbledon Draw MK Dons 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 35.47% 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% 0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.99% Total : 39.19%
How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs MK Dons
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rhs 2.0
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