Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.