MX23RW : Friday, October 4 12:21:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Fleetwood Town

Carlisle
2 - 3
Fleetwood

Wyke (42' pen., 52')
Hayden (20'), Biggins (78'), Davies (79'), Jones (83')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Mayor (10', 67'), Coughlin (19')
Helm (21'), Virtue (58'), Coughlin (77'), Johnston (87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
38.14% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 26.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.65% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.91% (0.013999999999996 0.01)51.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (0.009999999999998 0.01)72.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.86% (0.034000000000006 0.03)26.14% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.79% (0.047000000000004 0.05)61.21% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)27.57% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.9% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)63.09% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 38.14%
    Fleetwood Town 35.65%
    Draw 26.2%
Carlisle UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.9% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 38.14%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.2%
0-1 @ 9.29% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.65%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 24
Fleetwood
1-1
Carlisle
Stockley (35')
Wiredu (65')
Moxon (27')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Moxon (36')
Huntington (4'), Mellish (45+2')
Wiredu (45+4')
Brown (5'), Nsiala (73'), Earl (85'), Rooney (90+6')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Idehen (90')
Garner (46')
Sep 1, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-3
Fleetwood
Toure (36')
Riley (90+2')
Toure (90')
Camps (44'), Saunders (57', 68')
Matete (90+2')
Nov 8, 2017 7.45pm
-
Carlisle
1-2
Fleetwood
Miller (86')
Devitt (33'), Miller (55')
Sowerby (10'), Burns (44')
Biggins (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
Buccaneers
30-36
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!