Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rylands win with a probability of 52.16%. A win for Newton Aycliffe had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rylands win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Newton Aycliffe win was 2-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.