MX23RW : Friday, October 4 12:19:49| >> :600:337687:337687:
FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
2 - 1
Merthyr Town

Smith (11'), Frear (19')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Preston-Watkins (88')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Bath City and Merthyr Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Merthyr Town 3-2 Cribbs
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Merthyr Town win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Merthyr Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Bath CityDrawMerthyr Town
33.66% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06) 26.28% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 40.05% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.91% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.3% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)51.7% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.52% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)73.47% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)29.1% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)65.02% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Merthyr Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.62% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.38% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)60.18% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 33.66%
    Merthyr Town 40.05%
    Draw 26.28%
Bath CityDrawMerthyr Town
1-0 @ 9.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 33.66%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 10.12% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 6.94% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.92% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.05%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
OT
Buccaneers
30-36
Falcons
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Bournemouth622289-18
12Brentford6213810-27
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton6015312-91
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!