Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Easter Road Stadium
We said: Hibernian 1-1 St Johnstone
It is a tough ask to separate two teams that have both started the season with much room for improvement, and while St Johnstone come into Saturday's game on the back of three straight defeats, Hibs do not look as though they are in the best place to capitalise on this.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 51.53% . A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.66%) . The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%) . The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result Hibernian Draw St Johnstone 51.53% ( -0.07) 23.8% ( 0) 24.66% ( 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.05)
54.03% ( 0.04) 45.97% ( -0.04)
31.72% ( 0.04) 68.27% ( -0.04)
82.15% ( -0.02) 17.85% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 51.39% ( -0.02) 48.6% ( 0.01)
67.3% ( 0.07) 32.69% ( -0.07)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.75% ( 0.08) 69.24% ( -0.09)
Hibernian 51.53%
St Johnstone 24.66%
Draw 23.8%
Hibernian Draw St Johnstone 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.53% 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.8% 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.66%
How you voted: Hibernian vs St Johnstone
Hibernian
Draw
St Johnstone
17
rhs 2.0
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