Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.