Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 51.6%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 26.31% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.38%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
51.6% ( 0.24) | 22.1% ( -0.39) | 26.31% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 62.96% ( 1.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.4% ( 1.97) | 36.61% ( -1.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.24% ( 2.12) | 58.76% ( -2.11) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.58% ( 0.79) | 14.42% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.65% ( 1.49) | 42.35% ( -1.49) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.57% ( 1.14) | 26.43% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( 1.5) | 61.6% ( -1.49) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.51) 2-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.08) Other @ 4.4% Total : 51.6% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.33) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.22% Total : 26.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |