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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bowden Park

Harborough Town
4 - 2
Stourbridge

Williams (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Freemantle (90+1')
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Harborough Town and Stourbridge.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Darlaston Town 2-3 Harborough Town
Wednesday, September 4 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
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Last Game: Dudley Town 0-5 Stourbridge
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stourbridge win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Harborough Town had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stourbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Harborough Town win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Harborough TownDrawStourbridge
36.27%24.51%39.22%
Both teams to score 59.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.61%43.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.22%65.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Harborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38% (0.00099999999999056 0)23.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29%57.71% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Stourbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)22.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54%55.46%
Score Analysis
    Harborough Town 36.27%
    Stourbridge 39.22%
    Draw 24.51%
Harborough TownDrawStourbridge
2-1 @ 8.21%
1-0 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.44%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.98%
3-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 36.27%
1-1 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-1 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.95%
1-3 @ 4.32%
2-3 @ 3.12%
0-3 @ 2.99%
1-4 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 39.22%

rhs 2.0
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2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
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