Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.