Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Celtic Park
Celtic2 - 0Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celtic 3-0 Rangers
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Sunday, September 1 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Celtic 3-0 Hearts
While Hearts did beat Celtic twice last season, their current form is a huge concern, and it would be a surprise to see anything other than a convincing home win. The Hoops are in great form and are playing some sensational football, and while we expect them to make it five wins from five in the league this Saturday, they could have one eye on their Champions League opener in midweek. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 82.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 6.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 3-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.22%), while for a Hearts win it was 1-2 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
82.1% ( 0.2) | 11.45% ( -0.11) | 6.45% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.21% ( 0.25) | 26.79% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.77% ( 0.32) | 47.23% ( -0.32) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.17% ( 0.08) | 4.83% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.54% ( 0.24) | 19.46% ( -0.24) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.93% ( -0.03) | 46.07% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.23% ( -0.03) | 81.77% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Celtic 82.09%
Hearts 6.45%
Draw 11.45%
| Celtic | Draw | Hearts |
| 3-0 @ 10.31% 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 8% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.03)5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.46% Total : 82.09% | 1-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.93% Total : 11.45% | 1-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 6.45% |
How you voted: Celtic vs Hearts
Celtic
86.3%Draw
5.0%Hearts
8.8%80
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 3pm
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
May 7, 2023 2.15pm
