MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 00:12:48| >> :60:254:254:
Hearts logo
Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tynecastle Park

Hearts
0 - 1
Plzen


Grant (58'), Taylor (90+4'), Kent (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cerv (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League playoff between Hearts and Viktoria Plzen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Hearts
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Plzen 1-0 Hearts
Thursday, August 22 at 6pm in Europa League

We said: Hearts 1-1 Viktoria Plzen (Viktoria Plzen win 2-1 on aggregate)

The combination of a tight Plzen defence - albeit now missing its strongest component - and Hearts' attacking woes suggests that the Czech side will prevail. Scoring once in Edinburgh should prove enough to send Viktoria through, consigning the out-of-form Jambos to a consolation place in the Conference League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Viktoria Plzen would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawViktoria Plzen
36.21% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03) 23.42% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 40.36% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 63.55% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (0.049999999999997 0.05)38.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (0.054000000000002 0.05)60.38% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)21.26% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)54.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)19.29% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.96% (0.062999999999995 0.06)51.03% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 36.21%
    Viktoria Plzen 40.36%
    Draw 23.42%
HeartsDrawViktoria Plzen
2-1 @ 8.09% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 10.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.66% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.1% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 23.42%
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 4.72% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 40.36%

How you voted: Hearts vs Plzen

Hearts
47.6%
Draw
9.8%
Viktoria Plzen
42.7%
82
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 6pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Plzen
1-0
Hearts
Oyegoke (90+6' og.)
Jemelka (69'), Kalvach (90+1')

Devlin (22'), Vargas (36'), Oyegoke (90+8')
rhs 2.0
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