We said: Viktoria Plzen 3-0 Hearts
Hearts will make their first European trip of the season more in hope than expectation, as Plzen are in excellent form and boast an impressive pedigree.
By contrast, the Jambos have been stuck in second gear so far, and they may already be out of the contest before next week's second leg in Scotland.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Viktoria Plzen win with a probability of 50.86%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Viktoria Plzen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Viktoria Plzen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Viktoria Plzen.