Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.