MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 10:10:42| >> :60:164:164:
San Jose Earthquakes
Leagues Cup | Round of 32
Aug 9, 2024 at 4am UK
Earthquakes Stadium

Earthquakes
5 - 0
Necaxa

Yueill (5'), Lopez (17'), Ebobisse (29', 35'), Marie (88')
Andrade (53'), Judd (77'), Badaloni (82')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Rodrigues (45+4'), Monreal (57'), Espinoza (76')
Montes (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Leagues Cup clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Necaxa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 LA Galaxy
Thursday, August 1 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup
Next Game: Salt Lake vs. Earthquakes
Sunday, August 25 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 1-3 Necaxa
Monday, August 5 at 3.30am in Leagues Cup
Next Game: Necaxa vs. Juarez
Sunday, August 25 at 12am in Liga MX

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Necaxa

Necaxa scored three times against the second-best defensive unit in Major League Soccer for goals conceded, and that should give them a significant confidence boost heading into this game. We believe they will have their share of opportunities against a San Jose backline that have given up an MLS-high 61 goals in the regular season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.51%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawNecaxa
45.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 23.3% (0.0030000000000001 0) 31.05% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 62.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.52% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)61.48% (0.0039999999999978 0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)48.01% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.39% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)24.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.89% (0.009999999999998 0.01)59.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 45.65%
    Necaxa 31.05%
    Draw 23.3%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawNecaxa
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.51%
2-0 @ 6.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 6.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.31% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.3%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 6.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.05%

rhs 2.0
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