Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 27.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.