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Major League Soccer
Jun 23, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles
6 - 2
Earthquakes

Bogusz (15', 48'), Bouanga (26'), Kamara (33'), Hollingshead (42'), Angel (87')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Rodrigues (45+3'), Kikanovic (57')
Costa (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-1 Los Angeles
Thursday, June 20 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 1-2 Portland
Thursday, June 20 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-0 San Jose Earthquakes

Los Angeles are the most in-form side in the MLS right now and have been almost invincible on home soil. With San Jose's struggles this year, we see nothing but victory for the hosts in this affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
73.24% (0.979 0.98) 15.41% (-0.41 -0.41) 11.36% (-0.574 -0.57)
Both teams to score 57.8% (-0.368 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.28% (0.447 0.45)29.72% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.15% (0.538 0.54)50.85% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.01% (0.292 0.29)6.99% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.4% (0.777 0.78)25.6% (-0.782 -0.78)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.15% (-0.596 -0.6)37.85% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.37% (-0.587 -0.59)74.63% (0.581 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 73.24%
    San Jose Earthquakes 11.36%
    Draw 15.41%
Los Angeles FCDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
3-0 @ 8.31% (0.176 0.18)
3-1 @ 8.07% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.04% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.52% (0.201 0.2)
4-1 @ 5.37% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-0 @ 2.94% (0.151 0.15)
5-1 @ 2.86% (0.103 0.1)
4-2 @ 2.61% (0.013 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.39% (0.029 0.03)
6-0 @ 1.3% (0.086 0.09)
6-1 @ 1.27% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 4.19%
Total : 73.24%
1-1 @ 6.84% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 2.65% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 15.41%
1-2 @ 3.32% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-1 @ 2.57% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.25% (-0.075 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 11.36%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Earthquakes

Los Angeles FC
75.0%
Draw
12.5%
San Jose Earthquakes
12.5%
8
Head to Head
May 5, 2024 12.30am
Earthquakes
3-1
Los Angeles
Rodrigues (5'), Pellegrino (55'), Bouanga (59' og.)
Skahan (10'), Costa (75')
Olivera (69')
Chanot (25'), Palencia (61')
Jul 9, 2023 3.30am
May 21, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
2-1
Earthquakes
Biuk (3'), Vela (90+5' pen.)
Maldonado (29')
Trauco (52')
Judson (89'), Beason (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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