Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 73.24%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.84%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.32%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.