We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 Austin FC
Although Austin have a poor away record their form of late has been strong, and this is in contrast to San Jose, who have lost their previous two fixtures.
Additionally, given that no team in either the Western or Eastern Conference has conceded more than the Quakes' 33 goals, it is fair to say that Austin could take advantage of their opponents' defensive vulnerabilities.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.