Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 22.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Austin FC |
53.36% (![]() | 23.95% | 22.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.51% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.45% | 48.55% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.32% | 70.67% (![]() |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.87% | 18.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.91% (![]() | 49.08% (![]() |
Austin FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.13% (![]() | 35.86% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.36% (![]() | 72.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Austin FC |
1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 9.48% 3-1 @ 5.53% 3-0 @ 5.4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.84% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.42% Total : 53.36% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 6.5% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.67% 1-2 @ 5.84% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.7% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.89% Total : 22.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 56 | 39 | 17 | 53 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 48 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 22 | 25 | 43 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 42 | 31 | 11 | 41 |
5 | New York City FCNY City | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 38 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 37 |
7 | Orlando City | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 34 |
8 | Toronto | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 30 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 28 |
10 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 27 |
11 | CF MontrealMontreal | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 27 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 26 |
13 | DC United | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 26 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 30 | 42 | -12 | 25 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 23 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 49 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 30 | 18 | 47 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 44 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 50 | 43 | 7 | 41 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 38 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 37 |
7 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 37 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 36 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 33 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
11 | Dallas | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 30 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 24 |
13 | St Louis City | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 23 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 25 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 31 | 61 | -30 | 14 |