Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 56.6%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (5.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.