We said: Colorado Rapids 0-1 Austin FC
One of the few consistencies that we have seen from the Rapids this season is their ability to deter the most potent attacking sides on their home field.
They should be able to keep Austin at bay for a while, but the Verde and Black can probably afford to take a few more chances in this one, given the lack of quality from Colorado in the attacking third, and we expect they will be able to produce a moment of high quality once again.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.