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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
May 26, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Atlanta
0 - 1
Los Angeles


Lennon (26'), Mosquera (77')
Guzan (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bogusz (63')
Atuesta (10')
Atuesta (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Atlanta
Saturday, May 18 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 0-2 Los Angeles
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 1-2 Los Angeles FC

Los Angeles have put together a fine run of results of late and will be backing themselves against an Atlanta side who have picked up just one point from their last four home games in the league. While we expect the Five Stripes to put up a fight, we predict that the visitors will do just enough secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 42.07%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawLos Angeles FC
42.07% (0.131 0.13) 23.66% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 34.27% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 62.22% (0.12 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.31% (0.167 0.17)39.68% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.96% (0.173 0.17)62.04% (-0.175 -0.18)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.8% (0.126 0.13)19.2% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.12% (0.20800000000001 0.21)50.88% (-0.209 -0.21)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.2% (0.042999999999999 0.04)56.8% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 42.07%
    Los Angeles FC 34.27%
    Draw 23.66%
Atlanta UnitedDrawLos Angeles FC
2-1 @ 8.84% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.31% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 42.07%
1-1 @ 10.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.66%
1-2 @ 7.87% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.77% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 3.18% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Los Angeles

Atlanta United
26.3%
Draw
10.5%
Los Angeles FC
63.2%
19
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2023 3.30am
Los Angeles
0-0
Atlanta
Palacios (18'), Cifuentes (23'), Crisostomo (90+6')
Ibarra (28'), Rossetto (61'), Sanchez (70'), Fortune (85'), Wolff (90+4')
Aug 15, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 25
Atlanta
1-0
Los Angeles
Martinez (47')
Bello (85')

Atuesta (90+6')
Aug 16, 2020 8pm
Jul 27, 2019 3am
Los Angeles
4-3
Atlanta
Diomande (33'), Rossi (38'), Vela (41' pen.), Atuesta (45')
Adams (2'), Martinez (45'), Segura (51' og.)
Remedi (44'), Gonzalez (56'), Meram (80')
Apr 7, 2018 10pm
Gameweek 6
Atlanta
5-0
Los Angeles
Gressel (17'), Martinez (67'), Almiro (88' pen., 92' pen.), Williams (97')
McCann (1'), Almiro (48'), Williams (98')

Moutinho (90')
Moutinho (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami25165456391753
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati25153744331148
3Columbus Crew23127447222543
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls251011442311141
5New York City FCNY City2511593630638
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC2510783027337
7Orlando City259793938134
8Toronto2693143447-1330
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2577113536-128
10Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2569104542327
11CF MontrealMontreal2569103449-1527
12Nashville SCNashville2568112639-1326
13DC United2568113550-1526
14Chicago Fire2567123042-1225
15New England RevolutionNew England2372142347-2423

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy26147550361449
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles24145548301847
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake25128551341744
4Colorado RapidsColorado2612595043741
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver2411584335838
6Houston DynamoHouston2410773530537
7Seattle SoundersSeattle2510783429537
8Portland TimbersPortland2510695042836
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd2596104041-133
10Austin FCAustin2587102837-931
11Dallas2586113839-130
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2666144152-1124
13St Louis City25411103246-1423
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2542193161-3014


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