Maribor

4 - 1

Primorje

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Primorje had a probability of 19.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 1-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Primorje win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.