Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.