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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Hull logo

Luton
1 - 0
Hull City

McGuinness (33')
Burke (22'), Nakamba (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coyle (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 West Brom
Sunday, November 10 at 1pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Hull City

Saturday's meeting is crucial for both teams in their bid to put a tough start to the season behind them. Luton Town are yet to show their quality on their return to the Championship but should have enough to get over the line at Kenilworth Road against a Hull City side also struggling for confidence. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawHull City
36.51% (-1.275 -1.28) 25.53% (0.293 0.29) 37.95% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (-1.34 -1.34)48.11% (1.34 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73% (-1.241 -1.24)70.27% (1.241 1.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-1.317 -1.32)25.66% (1.319 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-1.827 -1.83)60.57% (1.828 1.83)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)24.87% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.108 -0.11)59.48% (0.109 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 36.51%
    Hull City 37.95%
    Draw 25.53%
Luton TownDrawHull City
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.347 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.464 0.46)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.309 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Hull City

Luton Town
74.1%
Draw
13.8%
Hull City
12.1%
58
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Sep 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 12
Hull City
0-2
Luton
Jones (6' og.), Lansbury (44')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Hull City
1-3
Luton
Eaves (90+2')
Huddlestone (71'), Honeyman (86')
Adebayo (9'), Cornick (56'), Bree (72')
Clark (11'), Kioso (25')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Luton
1-0
Hull City
Adebayo (17')

Bernard (27')
Jul 18, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds29179353193460
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley29151223692757
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Millwall29910102826237
15Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2978143652-1629
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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