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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Burnley logo

Hull City
1 - 1
Burnley

Simons (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Flemming (77')
Humphreys (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 0-1 Burnley

Hull have been susceptible to fast breaks during the opening weeks of the season, and Burnley possess the quality to punish the hosts for any defensive negligence on Wednesday night. The Clarets will be confident of recording five straight clean sheets as they visit a Hull side who failed to register a shot on target versus Sunderland last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawBurnley
44.06% (0.15799999999999 0.16) 25.25% (0.125 0.13) 30.69% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 55.22% (-0.554 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-0.661 -0.66)48.22% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-0.609 -0.61)70.38% (0.61 0.61)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.20599999999999 -0.21)21.87% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.314 -0.31)55.12% (0.315 0.31)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.521 -0.52)29.32% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.646 -0.65)65.3% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 44.06%
    Burnley 30.69%
    Draw 25.24%
Hull CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.205 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.69%

How you voted: Hull City vs Burnley

Hull City
23.5%
Draw
10.3%
Burnley
66.2%
68
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Hull City
1-3
Burnley
Tufan (90+3')
Tella (43', 59', 73')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Burnley
1-1
Hull City
Rodriguez (34')
Brownhill (89')
Tufan (25')
Tetteh (11'), Jones (68'), Elder (90+6')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Hull City
1-1
Burnley
Huddlestone (72' pen.)
Huddlestone (53')
Keane (76')
Westwood (40'), Barnes (71')
Barnes (92')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Feb 6, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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