Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
44.2% ( -0.28) | 25.37% ( 0.01) | 30.43% ( 0.27) |
Both teams to score 54.69% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.15% ( 0.07) | 48.85% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.05% ( 0.07) | 70.94% ( -0.07) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.93% ( -0.1) | 22.07% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.58% ( -0.15) | 55.42% ( 0.15) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.18% ( 0.22) | 29.81% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.1% ( 0.27) | 65.9% ( -0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Hull City |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 30.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Derby CountyDerby | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
> Championship Full Table |