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Plymouth Argyle
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Stoke logo

Plymouth
0 - 1
Stoke


Rooney (15'), Forshaw (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Manhoef (83')
Junior Bocat (14'), Burger (32'), Wilmot (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Plymouth Argyle and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-2 Stoke City

The Schumacher factor means that this should be a competitive game played in an electric atmosphere at Home Park. While it may benefit the hosts at times, we are backing the superior attacking quality of the visitors to ultimately shine through. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Stoke City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stoke City.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
25.48% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 24.03% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 50.49% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Both teams to score 55.37% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (-0.163 -0.16)46.25% (0.16099999999999 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.45% (-0.155 -0.16)68.54% (0.152 0.15)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.82% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)32.17% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.34% (-0.058 -0.06)68.65% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.64% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)18.35% (0.096 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.52% (-0.167 -0.17)49.47% (0.165 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 25.48%
    Stoke City 50.48%
    Draw 24.03%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 6.7% (0.036 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.8% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.44% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 25.48%
1-1 @ 11.35% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.91% (0.04 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 10.01% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.62% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.49% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 50.48%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Stoke

Plymouth Argyle
44.4%
Draw
11.1%
Stoke City
44.4%
36
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Stoke
3-0
Plymouth
Hoever (43'), Manhoef (45+2'), Burger (90+3')
Wilmot (26'), Cooper (36'), Hoever (36')

Campbell (35'), Mumba (36'), Scarr (62'), Devine (69')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Plymouth
2-1
Stoke
Bundu (43'), Randell (90+7')
Houghton (7'), Schumacher (8')
Campbell (23')
Vidigal (57'), Pearson (63')
Dec 29, 2007 3pm
Plymouth
2-2
Stoke
Timar (67'), Ebanks-Blake (44')
Norris (73')
Shawcross (57'), Cresswell (8')
Fuller (86')
Hoult (82')
Sep 22, 2007 3pm
Stoke
3-2
Plymouth
Lawrence (66'), Fuller (73'), Seip (10' og.)
Seip (52'), Fallon (59')
Timar (37'), Nalis (76'), Buzsaky (79')
Mar 3, 2007 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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