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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.11%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
34.28% ( -0) | 23.5% | 42.22% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.82% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.11% | 38.89% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.79% | 61.21% ( -0) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.37% ( -0) | 22.63% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.75% ( -0) | 56.25% |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% | 18.81% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.77% ( 0) | 50.23% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Stoke City |
2-1 @ 7.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.32% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.7% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 3.25% 3-0 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.29% Total : 34.28% | 1-1 @ 10.56% 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 4.26% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.83% 0-1 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.94% 1-3 @ 4.92% 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.05% 2-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.5% Total : 42.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 32 |
2 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Burnley | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 30 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 27 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
7 | Watford | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 26 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
11 | Derby CountyDerby | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
12 | Stoke CityStoke | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 20 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 19 |
16 | Luton TownLuton | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 18 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 17 |
18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 16 |
22 | Hull City | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 11 |
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