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Championship
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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Plymouth Argyle

Leeds
2 - 1
Plymouth

James (21'), Piroe (28')
Gruev (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Waine (84')
Randell (33'), Whittaker (61'), Edwards (66'), Gibson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Leeds
Friday, November 3 at 8pm in Championship

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-0 Plymouth Argyle

 Although Plymouth have generally impressed on their return to the second tier, they are probably playing Leeds at the wrong time. We expect the home side to dominate this fixture and prevail with a win and clean sheet, keeping the pressure on Ipswich above them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 63.36%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 1-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-2 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
63.36% (-0.76 -0.76) 19.45% (0.432 0.43) 17.18% (0.329 0.33)
Both teams to score 58.59% (-0.91 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.86% (-1.495 -1.5)36.14% (1.496 1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.75% (-1.66 -1.66)58.25% (1.66 1.66)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.13% (-0.62400000000001 -0.62)10.87% (0.623 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.01% (-1.399 -1.4)34.99% (1.399 1.4)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.73% (-0.556 -0.56)34.27% (0.557 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.03% (-0.602 -0.6)70.97% (0.601 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 63.36%
    Plymouth Argyle 17.18%
    Draw 19.45%
Leeds UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
2-0 @ 9.17% (0.207 0.21)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.396 0.4)
3-1 @ 7.27% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-0 @ 6.79% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.03% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.89% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.133 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.79% (-0.132 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.67% (-0.095 -0.1)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 63.36%
1-1 @ 8.85% (0.295 0.3)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.27 0.27)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 4.74% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.233 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.14% (0.094 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.69% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 17.18%

How you voted: Leeds vs Plymouth

Leeds United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Plymouth Argyle
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 7, 2007 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Plymouth
Michalik (87'), Healy (45')
Gray (73')
Halmosi (36')
Timar (49')
Nov 25, 2006 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Leeds
Djordjic (40')
Aljofree (23'), Seip (33'), Hayles (82'), Ebanks-Blake (83')
Lewis (61'), Blake (3')
Westlake (32'), Douglas (70')
Apr 8, 2006 3pm
Leeds
0-0
Plymouth
Healy (6')
Nalis (31'), Connolly (51'), Larrieu (90')
Jan 2, 2006 3pm
Plymouth
0-3
Leeds
Cresswell (53'), Blake (60')
Dec 28, 2004 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Plymouth
Healy (90'), Gilbert (46' og.)
Gregan (57'), Joachim (88')

Connolly (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318
> Championship Full Table


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