Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 1
Bristol City

James (37'), Piroe (53')
Rodon (67')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Naismith (45+4')
Williams (6'), Gardner-Hickman (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 1-0 QPR
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Rotherham 1-2 Bristol City
Wednesday, October 4 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Leeds United 2-1 Bristol City

Bristol City have impressed so far this season and will travel to Elland Road with confidence knowing they have the ability to cause problems for any side in the Championship, but we anticipate the Whites being slightly too strong in front of an Elland Road crowd and back them to narrowly come out on top at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Bristol City
50.21% ( 0.83)	25.1% ( -0.05)	24.69% ( -0.78)

Both teams to score 51.24% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.66% (

-0.39)

51.34% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.84% (

-0.34)

73.16% (

0.34)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

0.19)

20.46% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.08% (

0.3)

52.92% (

-0.3)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.41% (

-0.88)

35.58% (

0.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.65% (

-0.92)

72.35% (

0.92)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 50.21%

Bristol City 24.69%

Draw 25.09%

Leeds United	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 11.55% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 50.21%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.97% Total : 24.69%