MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 07:07:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
vs.
New Saints

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 3-2 Barry
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Next Game: Aberystwyth vs. Caernarfon
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 0-2 Panathinaikos
Thursday, December 12 at 8pm in Conference League
Next Game: Celje vs. New Saints
Thursday, December 19 at 8pm in Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a The New Saints win with a probability of 72.67%. A draw has a probability of 15.7% and a win for Caernarfon Town has a probability of 11.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win is 0-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-3 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it is 2-1 (3.4%).

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
11.65% (0.268 0.27) 15.68% (0.218 0.22) 72.67% (-0.483 -0.48)
Both teams to score 57.74% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.74% (-0.34899999999999 -0.35)30.26% (0.354 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.5% (-0.41999999999999 -0.42)51.5% (0.425 0.43)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.24% (0.184 0.18)37.76% (-0.17899999999999 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.46% (0.178 0.18)74.53% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.77% (-0.173 -0.17)7.23% (0.1769 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.78% (-0.462 -0.46)26.22% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 11.65%
    The New Saints 72.67%
    Draw 15.68%
Caernarfon TownDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 3.4% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 2.66% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.45% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.3% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.1% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 11.65%
1-1 @ 6.99% (0.108 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.049 0.05)
0-0 @ 2.73% (0.054 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 15.68%
0-2 @ 9.42% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.17% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-3 @ 8.25% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 8.03% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 7.17% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
0-4 @ 5.42% (-0.097 -0.1)
1-4 @ 5.28% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.91% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.85% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-5 @ 2.77% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 2.57% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.35% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-6 @ 1.25% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-6 @ 1.21% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 72.67%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
New Saints
1-2
Caernarfon
Smith (12')
Clarke (33'), Lloyd (82')
Apr 5, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
New Saints
7-1
Caernarfon
McManus (7', 59' pen.), Clark (13'), Cieslewicz (16', 47'), Redmond (22'), Hudson (90')
Lloyd (72')
Maher (33')
Maher (33')
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Caernarfon
1-8
New Saints
Bradley (7')
Young (2', 34', 49'), Cieslewicz (30', 31'), Holden (55', 90'), Hudson (85')
Young (73')
Dec 26, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
New Saints
2-1
Caernarfon
Williams (78'), Marriott (81')
Roberts (14'), Davies (45+1'), Davies (45+1'), Williams (82')
Lloyd (13')
Wynne (82')
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-3
New Saints
Davies (6')
Clark (58'), Williams (63'), Brobbel (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints17120545202536
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Caernarfon TownCaernarfon188462727028
6Barry Town UnitedBarry188462932-328
7Bala TownBala Town1851032318525
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1742112133-1214
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1831141445-3110
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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