MX23RW : Friday, November 22 00:49:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
2 - 1
Caernarfon

Williams (78'), Marriott (81')
Roberts (14'), Davies (45+1'), Davies (45+1'), Williams (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lloyd (13')
Wynne (82')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions
Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 New Saints
Saturday, December 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Caernarfon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 92.12%. A draw had a probability of 5.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 2.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.49%) and 5-0 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.95%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (0.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
92.12% (-0.029000000000011 -0.03) 5.22% (0.018 0.02) 2.66% (0.0091000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.23% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
89.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)10.5% (0.037999999999998 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
76.85% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)23.14% (0.065999999999999 0.07)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
98.78% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)1.22% (0.006 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
93.42% (-0.029999999999987 -0.03)6.58% (0.0281 0.03)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.92% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.07% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.65% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 92.12%
    Caernarfon Town 2.66%
    Draw 5.22%
The New SaintsDrawCaernarfon Town
4-0 @ 8.25% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.49% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 6.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.31% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
6-0 @ 5.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
6-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.012 0.01)
7-0 @ 3.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
7-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 2.31% (0.01 0.01)
6-2 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
8-0 @ 1.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
8-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
7-2 @ 1.2% (-0.004 -0)
9-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 6.38%
Total : 92.12%
1-1 @ 1.95% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 1.81% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 5.22%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 2.66%

Head to Head
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-3
New Saints
Davies (6')
Clark (58'), Williams (63'), Brobbel (76')
Jan 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Caernarfon
0-1
New Saints
McManus (72')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
New Saints
3-0
Caernarfon
Brobbel (16'), Wilson (42'), Dafydd (90+3')
Apr 23, 2022 12.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
3-1
Caernarfon
McManus (2', 88'), Brobbel (42')
Dafydd (90+4')
Jan 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Caernarfon
0-4
New Saints

Beaumont (26')
McManus (28'), Brobbel (56'), Cieslewicz (80'), Williams (86')
Marriott (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont1611413292337
2The New SaintsNew Saints15110442172533
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest168532081229
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU167452320325
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town164932218421
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Briton Ferry1532101830-1211
11Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1632111834-1611
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1631121439-2510
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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