Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 20

Dec 26, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Park Hall Stadium

New Saints
2 - 1
Caernarfon

Williams (78'), Marriott (81')
Roberts (14'), Davies (45+1'), Davies (45+1'), Williams (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Lloyd (13')
Wynne (82')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

The New Saints

All competitions

Welsh Premier League

Last Game: Haverfordwest 0-1 New Saints
Saturday, December 23 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Caernarfon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Caernarfon 0-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 92.12%. A draw had a probability of 5.2% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 2.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 4-0 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.49%) and 5-0 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.95%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (0.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.

Result
The New Saints	Draw	Caernarfon Town
92.12% ( -0.03)	5.22% ( 0.02)	2.66% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.23% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

89.5% (

-0.04)

10.5% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

76.85% (

-0.07)

23.14% (

0.07)

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

98.78% (

-0.01)

1.22% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

93.42% (

-0.03)

6.58% (

0.03)

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.92% (

-0)

43.07% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.65% (

79.35% (

-0)

Score Analysis

The New Saints 92.12%

Caernarfon Town 2.66%

Draw 5.22%

The New Saints	Draw	Caernarfon Town
4-0 @ 8.25% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 7.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 6.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 6.13% ( -0) 6-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.93% ( 0) 7-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 5-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) 1-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.9% ( -0) 8-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 8-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 7-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) 9-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 6.38% Total : 92.12%	1-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 5.22%	Other @ 2.66% Total : 2.66%