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Newtown logo
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 15
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
G.F. Grigg Latham Park

Newtown
0 - 2
New Saints


Gabriel Robles (18'), Hughes (36'), Smith (65'), Evans (70'), Sutton (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Daniels (61'), Clark (90+3')
Hudson (2'), Williams (45+3'), Daniels (70')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Newtown AFC and The New Saints.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: New Saints 6-1 Colwyn Bay
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 11.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Newtown AFC win it was 2-1 (3.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for The New Saints in this match.

Result
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
11.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07) 16.74% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 71.96% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.03% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24% (0.228 0.23)36.76% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.08% (0.249 0.25)58.93% (-0.244 -0.24)
Newtown AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04)42.85% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.84% (0.032 0.03)79.16% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.04% (0.094000000000008 0.09)8.96% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.42% (0.224 0.22)30.58% (-0.219 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Newtown AFC 11.3%
    The New Saints 71.96%
    Draw 16.74%
Newtown AFCDrawThe New Saints
2-1 @ 3.33% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 3.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-0 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.13%
3-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 11.3%
1-1 @ 7.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 16.74%
0-2 @ 11.17% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 8.98% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-4 @ 5.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 4.59% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.012 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.61% (0.027 0.03)
1-5 @ 2.22% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.95% (0.015 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.05% (0.015 0.01)
2-5 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 71.96%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Newtown
0-5
New Saints
McManus (6', 44', 57'), Cieslewicz (68'), Dafydd (90+1')
Feb 18, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
New Saints
1-0
Newtown
Astles (45')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
New Saints
4-1
Newtown
McManus (9' pen.), Davies (25'), Daniels (29'), Cieslewicz (81')
Robles (36')
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Newtown
0-0
New Saints
Williams (40'), Ismail (50')
Ismail (61')
Apr 18, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Newtown
0-2
New Saints

Roberts (48'), Walker (76'), Ismail (87')
Brobbel (64'), Canavan (90+2')
Williams (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
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Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont17114234122237
2The New SaintsNew Saints16120445192636
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest178632081230
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU178452620628
5Barry Town UnitedBarry167452528-325
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon167362324-124
7Bala TownBala Town1741032218422
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay165472018219
9Newtown AFCNewtown165472133-1219
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1742112035-1514
11Briton Ferry1632111932-1311
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1731131442-2810


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