Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 9
Sep 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Oval
Caernarfon1 - 3New Saints
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and The New Saints.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Caernarfon 1-0 Pontypridd
Saturday, September 23 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Saturday, September 23 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Cardiff MU 1-5 New Saints
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Friday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 76.85%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 8.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.7%) and 0-1 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Caernarfon Town | Draw | The New Saints |
8.21% ( 0.02) | 14.93% ( -0.04) | 76.85% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.87% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
