MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 11:07:58| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 22, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Brest logo

Monaco
3 - 2
Brest

Akliouche (5', 90+1'), Golovin (24')
Majecki (78'), Singo (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sima (50'), Ajorque (90+6')
Lala (6'), Le Cardinal (83')
Roy (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, November 9 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 3-1 Brest
Sunday, November 10 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 1-0 Brest

Monaco have been hugely impressive defensively and will seek to use that here to end a two-game losing run at home without scoring, in what will be a huge week for both clubs. No supporters in France will be having a better season than Brest's, but that is solely down to their continental form, and it is tough to see them avoiding a third straight league defeat here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Brest win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawBrest
59.14% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1) 21.44% (0.058 0.06) 19.42% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.9% (-0.135 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.3% (-0.205 -0.2)41.7% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.9% (-0.208 -0.21)64.1% (0.207 0.21)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.23% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)13.76% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.93% (-0.192 -0.19)41.06% (0.19 0.19)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.82% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)35.17% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.07% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)71.92% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 59.14%
    Brest 19.42%
    Draw 21.43%
MonacoDrawBrest
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.52% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.29% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.26% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 59.14%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.43%
1-2 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.06% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.64% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 19.42%

How you voted: Monaco vs Brest

Monaco
78.0%
Draw
16.5%
Brest
5.5%
127
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 4.05pm
Gameweek 30
Brest
0-2
Monaco

Roy (45'), Le Cardinal (59'), Lala (69'), Camara (85'), Magnetti (90+1'), Le Douaron (90+5')
Zakaria (40'), Minamino (48')
Zakaria (44'), Diatta (65')
Ben Seghir (90+1'), Singo (90+5')
Nov 5, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 11
Monaco
2-0
Brest
Zakaria (16'), Golovin (69')
Golovin (62'), Fofana (88')

Locko (8'), Roy (33'), Brassier (62'), Lees-Melou (67')
Brassier (90+3')
Feb 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 24
Brest
1-2
Monaco
Golovin (39'), Boadu (73')
Jan 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 17
Monaco
1-0
Brest
Golovin (54')
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Monaco
4-2
Brest
Ben Yedder (44' pen., 51', 54'), Volland (70')
Golovin (45+3'), Volland (62')
Duverne (10'), Belaili (23')
Herelle (45+3'), Der Zakarian (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!