Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 37.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%).
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
37.09% ( 0.03) | 24.21% ( 0.03) | 38.7% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 60.68% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.12% ( -0.16) | 41.88% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.71% ( -0.17) | 64.29% ( 0.17) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.49% ( -0.06) | 22.5% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.93% ( -0.09) | 56.07% ( 0.09) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% ( -0.1) | 21.69% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.15% ( -0.16) | 54.85% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.09% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 8.5% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 38.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |