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La Liga
Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 26, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Alaves logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0
Alaves

Sivera (80' og.)
Lopez (49'), Chavarria (90+3')
Mumin (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanchez (50'), Diarra (67'), Guridi (77'), Jordan (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Mallorca 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, October 20 at 1pm in La Liga

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Alaves 2-3 Valladolid
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Alaves

 Alaves showed positives against Real Valladolid last time out, but their defensive record is concerning, and Rayo have the players to hurt the visitors on Saturday; we are expecting an open and entertaining match, with Rayo likely to come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlaves
47.4% (0.153 0.15) 28.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 24.25% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 42.01% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.9% (-0.154 -0.15)63.1% (0.153 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.46% (-0.111 -0.11)82.54% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)26.84% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (0.0039999999999978 0)62.14% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.42% (-0.248 -0.25)42.58% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.07% (-0.212 -0.21)78.93% (0.212 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 47.4%
    Alaves 24.25%
    Draw 28.34%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 15.03% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 9.89% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.44% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 47.4%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.42% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.34%
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves

Rayo Vallecano
73.1%
Draw
15.4%
Alaves
11.5%
52
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 28
Alaves
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Gorosabel (44')
Abqar (28'), Blanco (90+7')

Isi (13'), Espino (30')
> Preview
Sep 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Alaves
Isi (43' pen.), De Frutos (82')
Hernandez (19'), de Tomas (90+5')

Duarte (23'), Garcia (24'), Sola (41'), Hagi (90+6')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Alaves
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Joselu (64')
Escalante (45+3'), Duarte (90+9')

Nteka (55'), Maras (90+3'), Isi (90+8')
Balliu (88')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 18
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Alaves
Guardiola (19'), Catena (26')
Trejo (10')

Duarte (24'), Tachi (70')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 21
Alaves
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Maripan (57'), Pacheco (84')
De Tomas (47')
Moreno (69'), Imbula (84'), Comesana (85'), Medran (89'), Bebe (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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