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La Liga
Alaves logo
La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 10, 2024 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Rayo Vallecano logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Gorosabel (44')
Abqar (28'), Blanco (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Isi (13'), Espino (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions
Last Game: Osasuna 1-0 Alaves
Monday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Cadiz
Saturday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

 It is difficult to back either side with any real confidence at the moment, and we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday. Alaves have drawn eight times in the league this season, while Rayo have shared the points on 11 occasions, and we are predicting 1-1 this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 45.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.

Result
AlavesDrawRayo Vallecano
45.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 28.58% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 25.74% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 42.58% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.02% (-0.31 -0.31)62.98% (0.312 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.54% (-0.225 -0.22)82.45% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34% (-0.163 -0.16)27.66% (0.165 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79% (-0.212 -0.21)63.21% (0.214 0.21)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.87% (-0.228 -0.23)41.13% (0.23 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.33% (-0.201 -0.2)77.67% (0.20399999999999 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 45.67%
    Rayo Vallecano 25.74%
    Draw 28.57%
AlavesDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 14.62% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 45.67%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.37% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.57%
0-1 @ 10.1% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.77% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.49% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.1% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 25.74%

How you voted: Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano

Alaves
49.1%
Draw
36.4%
Rayo Vallecano
14.5%
55
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Alaves
Isi (43' pen.), De Frutos (82')
Hernandez (19'), de Tomas (90+5')

Duarte (23'), Garcia (24'), Sola (41'), Hagi (90+6')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 32
Alaves
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Joselu (64')
Escalante (45+3'), Duarte (90+9')

Nteka (55'), Maras (90+3'), Isi (90+8')
Balliu (88')
> Preview
Dec 18, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 18
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Alaves
Guardiola (19'), Catena (26')
Trejo (10')

Duarte (24'), Tachi (70')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 21
Alaves
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Maripan (57'), Pacheco (84')
De Tomas (47')
Moreno (69'), Imbula (84'), Comesana (85'), Medran (89'), Bebe (90')
Sep 22, 2018 12pm
Gameweek 5
Rayo Vallecano
1-5
Alaves
De Tomas (30')
Imbula (90')
Ba (35')
Navarro (8'), Gomez (34', 77'), Calleri (56'), Burgui (90')
Duarte (23'), Aguirregabiria (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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