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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Sevilla logo

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 2
Sevilla

Isi (29')
Crespo (90+2'), Dimitrievski (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-2)
En-Nesyri (19', 45')
Romero (36'), Acuna (45+5'), Mejbri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, January 28 at 5.30pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla

Sevilla have struggled on their travels this season, but Rayo have won just one of their 10 league games in front of their own supporters. Three of the last four La Liga games between these two sides have finished level, meanwhile, and we are expecting the points to be shared once again on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
39.24% (0.628 0.63) 26.75% (0.118 0.12) 34.01% (-0.75 -0.75)
Both teams to score 51.49% (-0.499 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.47% (-0.578 -0.58)53.53% (0.572 0.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (-0.491 -0.49)75.04% (0.48599999999999 0.49)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (0.077999999999989 0.08)26.66% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.08% (0.105 0.11)61.91% (-0.109 -0.11)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.22% (-0.75800000000001 -0.76)29.77% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.15% (-0.92599999999999 -0.93)65.85% (0.922 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 39.23%
    Sevilla 34.01%
    Draw 26.74%
Rayo VallecanoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 10.49% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.4% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.94% (0.186 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.7% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.06% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.177 0.18)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.62% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.7% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.11% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.94% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.01%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano
41.8%
Draw
31.3%
Sevilla
26.9%
182
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Sevilla
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Sow (50'), En-Nesyri (90+6')
Gudelj (36'), Sow (45+3'), Suso (67'), Navas (84'), Jordan (90+7')
Valentin (21'), Garcia (26')
Hernandez (74'), Perez (84')
Feb 19, 2023 3.15pm
Oct 29, 2022 5.30pm
Mar 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 28
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Sevilla
Bebe (46')
Iraola (74')
Delaney (63')
Ocampos (59')
Aug 15, 2021 9.15pm
Gameweek 1
Sevilla
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
En-Nesyri (19' pen.), Lamela (55', 79')
Idrissi (45+5')

Zidane (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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