La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes

Granada
0 - 3
Sevilla

Gumbau (38'), Torrente (57')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Pedrosa (23'), Ocampos (32'), Ramos (49')
Bueno (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Granada and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Granada

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Granada
Saturday, December 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 0-3 Getafe
Saturday, December 16 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

This is such a difficult match to call, as both sides have had very tough campaigns to date. Sevilla are in crisis mode, but Granada have only won once in the league this season, so it is difficult to back them, which has led to us predicting a low-scoring draw on Tuesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.45%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
Granada	Draw	Sevilla
30.55% ( -0.13)	25.25% ( 0.06)	44.2% ( 0.07)

Both teams to score 55.13% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.69% (

-0.3)

48.31% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.55% (

-0.28)

70.45% (

0.28)

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.53% (

-0.24)

29.46% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.53% (

-0.29)

65.47% (

0.29)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.1)

21.84% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

-0.15)

55.07% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Granada 30.55%

Sevilla 44.2%

Draw 25.25%

Granada	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 4.81% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 30.55%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.2%