European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Allianz Arena
Slovenia1 - 1Serbia
The Match
Match Report
Serbia's Luka Jovic scores a 95th-minute equaliser to rescue a 1-1 draw with Group C rivals Slovenia at the Allianz Arena on Thursday.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro 2024 clash between Slovenia and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Slovenia could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 Group C clash against Serbia.
Form, Standings, Stats
European Championship
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Denmark
Sunday, June 16 at 5pm in European Championship
Sunday, June 16 at 5pm in European Championship
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Denmark | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Serbia | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 42.38%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovenia | Draw | Serbia |
30.63% ( 0.23) | 26.98% ( -0.02) | 42.38% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.72% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( 0.17) | 55.31% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( 0.14) | 76.53% ( -0.14) |
| Slovenia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.01% ( 0.26) | 32.99% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.43% ( 0.29) | 69.57% ( -0.28) |
| Serbia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -0.03) | 25.8% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.24% ( -0.04) | 60.76% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Slovenia 30.63%
Serbia 42.38%
Draw 26.98%
| Slovenia | Draw | Serbia |
| 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.63% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.38% |
How you voted: Slovenia vs Serbia
Slovenia
29.6%Draw
34.1%Serbia
36.3%587
Head to Head
Jun 12, 2022 7.45pm
League B
Slovenia
2-2
Serbia
Gnezda Cerin (48'), Sesko (53')
Sikosek (31'), Gnezda Cerin (47'), Kurtic (50'), Karnicnik (74'), Gorenc Stankovic (86')
Sikosek (31'), Gnezda Cerin (47'), Kurtic (50'), Karnicnik (74'), Gorenc Stankovic (86')
Jun 5, 2022 7.45pm
League B
Serbia
4-1
Slovenia
Form Guide
Build-up
![Slovenia's Timi Max Elsnik in action on June 16, 2024 [IMAGO]](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1 "Slovenia's Timi Max Elsnik in action on June 16, 2024 [IMAGO]")
How Slovenia could line up against Serbia
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Slovenia could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 Group C clash against Serbia.
282 days ago
How Serbia could line up against Slovenia
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Serbia could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 Group C clash against Slovenia.
282 days ago
