Barcelona6 - 1Wolfsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, March 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Wednesday, March 19 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Barcelona Women 3-1 Wolfsburg Women
Barcelona will be determined to bounce back following Sunday's El Clasico defeat, and we think that they will take advantage of a Wolfsburg side that will have to take risks to get back into the tie, which is why we believe that the hosts will claim another comfortable victory over the German side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.34%), while for a Wolfsburg Women win it was 1-2 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Wolfsburg Women |
69.26% ( 0.34) | 16.05% ( -0.04) | 14.68% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 66.2% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.83% ( -0.5) | 24.17% ( 0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.17% ( -0.66) | 43.83% ( 0.66) |
| Barcelona Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.58% ( -0.06) | 6.42% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 75.96% ( -0.17) | 24.04% ( 0.17) |
| Wolfsburg Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -0.7) | 29.26% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.78% ( -0.87) | 65.22% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Wolfsburg Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 5.47% ( 0)1-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 3% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)5-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.54% Total : 69.26% | 1-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.49% Total : 16.05% | 1-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.31% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.28% Total : 14.69% |
