Brasileiro | Gameweek 1
Mar 29, 2025 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Alfredo Jaconi
Juventude2 - 0Vitoria
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Juventude and Vitoria.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventude win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventude win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventude would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventude | Draw | Vitoria |
42.3% ( -0.08) | 26.58% ( -0.07) | 31.12% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 51.16% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.44% ( 0.35) | 53.56% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.93% ( 0.29) | 75.07% ( -0.29) |
| Juventude Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.95% ( 0.12) | 25.05% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.27% ( 0.16) | 59.73% ( -0.16) |
| Vitoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( 0.29) | 31.73% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.84% ( 0.33) | 68.16% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
Juventude 42.3%
Vitoria 31.12%
Draw 26.58%
| Juventude | Draw | Vitoria |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 42.3% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.58% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.12% |
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Vitoria
1-0
Juventude
Form Guide
