With both clubs boasting impressive European pedigree, we expect Saturday's final to be a close-fought affair, but we think that Barcelona's technically-gifted midfield could control the pace of the contest and help their side claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 65.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Wolfsburg Women had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 3-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.93%), while for a Wolfsburg Women win it was 1-2 (4.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Barcelona Women	Draw	Wolfsburg Women
65.99% ( 6.77)	18.07% ( -1.09)	15.94% ( -5.68)

Both teams to score 61% (

-7.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.22% (

-4.36)

31.78% (

4.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.69% (

-5.28)

53.3% (

5.28)

Barcelona Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.98% (

0.3)

9.01% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.29% (

0.73)

30.7% (

-0.74)

Wolfsburg Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.05% (

-8.15)

32.95% (

8.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.47% (

-10.15)

69.53% (

10.14)

Score Analysis

Barcelona Women 65.99%

Wolfsburg Women 15.94%

Draw 18.07%

Barcelona Women	Draw	Wolfsburg Women
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( 2.09) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( 1.66) 3-0 @ 6.9% ( 1.75) 4-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.75) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( 1.1) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.41) 5-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.2) 5-0 @ 2% ( 0.55) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.18) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.43) Other @ 4.18% Total : 65.99%	1-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -1.03) 0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.66) 3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.75) Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.07%	1-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.93) 0-1 @ 3.3% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.98) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.85) Other @ 2.81% Total : 15.94%