Western Sydney

4 - 1

Newcastle Jets

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 49.36%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.09%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.