Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.45%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
52.32% ( 5.94) | 20.29% ( -0.95) | 27.39% ( -4.99) |
Both teams to score 70.95% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.32% ( 1.54) | 26.67% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.92% ( 1.93) | 47.07% ( -1.94) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.21% ( 2.27) | 10.78% ( -2.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.19% ( 4.83) | 34.8% ( -4.84) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.52% ( -1.9) | 20.47% ( 1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% ( -3.1) | 52.93% ( 3.1) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.71) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.45) 3-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.65) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.67) 4-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.39) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.53) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0.41) 4-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.27) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.3) Other @ 3.55% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.24) 3-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.69% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.81) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.36) 0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.66) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.66) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.46) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.36) 3-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.73% Total : 27.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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