Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.61%) and 3-1 (5.11%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
41.93% (![]() | 22.31% (![]() | 35.76% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.45% (![]() | 32.54% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.8% (![]() | 54.19% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.67% (![]() | 16.32% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.09% (![]() | 45.91% (![]() |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.03% (![]() | 18.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.5% (![]() | 50.49% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Macarthur |
2-1 @ 8.45% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 3.65% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 9.33% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.1% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.31% | 1-2 @ 7.76% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.28% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.9% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |